Oppenheimer

Will iPhone sales disappoint investors?


Production "hiccups" may depress next week's earnings, warns one analyst

apple-iphone3gsCompared with the increasingly sunny predictions streaming from his competitors, the note Oppenheimer's Yair Reiner sent clients Friday morning was something of a buzz kill.

"We believe Apple could report in line to slightly disappointing [fiscal fourth quarter] revenue," he wrote, advising investors to hold off buying shares until after Monday's quarterly earning's report.

The focus of his concern: the iPhone.

Reiner's estimate for Apple's fourth quarter iPhone sales was already the lowest of all the analysts we surveyed — 6 million, compared with a consensus just over 7 million and a high estimate (from Citibank's Richard Gardner) of 8.05 million.

But even 6 million, he says, could prove too high, due to what he calls "component/manufacturing hiccups."

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