Comments on: Investing: How to cash in on the 3G iPhone buzz

By: Scott, Chicago, IL

Scott, Chicago, IL — Mon, 09 Jun 2008 19:30:50 +0000

Having purchased a new iPhone for $499 on March 20, 2008 (twice as slow, twice the price of the 3G), I don't know if should consider myself a fool for having jumped into this company (Apple) and their product. The next phone will certainly NOT be an iPhone unless some from of customer care is offered.

Maybe the open, competitive MS Mobile platform will keep foolish consumers like myself satisfied…

By: freestyler, geneva

freestyler, geneva — Sat, 07 Jun 2008 14:19:51 +0000

three things to add.

1. aapl news just out that they will allow telecom carriers do the subsidy thing –

2. bloomberg are working on a version of their crack-berry killer app for iphone

3. i agree, its a bit premature to say 'perilously close' to life high, when its 10% away — there is still UP in this ric thats for darn sure

By: Benjy, Chicago, IL

Benjy, Chicago, IL — Fri, 06 Jun 2008 18:47:08 +0000

I'm already long AAPL (with a basis of about $12.00/sh.), but I bought a couple June and July option contracts, hoping for a pop coming out of the WWDC. I think that things like the SDK, global sales and reduced price point are going to propel the iPhone to become the defacto smart phone in the way that the iPod is the defacto MP3 player. At the very least, split the market 50/50 with Blackberry. And any other annoucements could also have an positive impact.

By: John new york

John new york — Thu, 05 Jun 2008 21:30:44 +0000

Im writing to inform that an inside source has revealed that ATT already has the iPhone Black (3g) in stores. I spoke to a friend of mines who is a manager at a corporate ATT store and he told me they have them but they have not received news as to when they will star selling them! Yes the name is iPhone Black Edition.. I have not received information regarding features yet because boxes are still sealed ive been told. But i will get back with more information as soon as received.

By: Ken C, Gardiner, Maine

Ken C, Gardiner, Maine — Thu, 05 Jun 2008 04:37:37 +0000

There's not enough data to be statistically significant that anyone should try to trade upon.

By: Jim P. , Clovis California

Jim P. , Clovis California — Thu, 05 Jun 2008 01:40:22 +0000

There are lies, damn lies and statistics…someone famous said that once…this sample set is pretty small and to take simple averages leaves much out of the picture…but I draw your attention to the original iPhone announcement…the stock went up on the day and the week after…the two week window…I agree with the author that "fear" of how the media and the market treats Apple and how to trade it probably addresses the queston of why the stock has been sideways all week…if this was Google it would be up $100 per share…lol…

However if we assume the stock remains at $186 on Friday…we could see a rise of say 8%…that would be equivalent to $200.88…pretty close to all time highs…you can do the math on the other percentage gains but there are many analysis pushing for valuations in the low 200's…

Why would one consider this as highly probable…well 70 countries are currently covered with approximately 700 million total wireless customers…even if only 1% of the total customers buy the phone in the 1st 6 months that would total…7,000,000 phones…even if only innovators and no early adopters purchased the phone that is typically estimated at 2% of available users…I think you will also get a fair number of early adopters…so the percentage is going to be closer to 5 to 7% of the market or 35 million to 49 million phones in the first 18 months…remember this will be an inexpensive entry to the internet for alot of people…Apple has sold something like 114 million Ipods…at quite a serious premium…this a tool that will become an addiction that makes the the "crackberry" pale in comparison…

And yes I have a large investment in Apple because I think they are a "disrupter" bringing change to our society…

Jim

By: Head Pig Austin, TX

Head Pig Austin, TX — Thu, 05 Jun 2008 01:26:11 +0000

I haven't heard anyone mention the possibility of a double top in the near future….www.lipstickthispig.com

By: Cheetah, the Congo

Cheetah, the Congo — Wed, 04 Jun 2008 23:25:35 +0000

Why do you encourage your readers, mediocre amateurs at all things including their professions, to try and time the market?

Everybody knows you can use certain stocks to time trades but be warned once it becomes common knowledge among the insiders; the insiders will burn you for every penny you got. They are being paid to watch for these things after all.

By: Zach Bass, Sharon MA

Zach Bass, Sharon MA — Wed, 04 Jun 2008 21:10:58 +0000

I happen to be one of those posters on MacObserver. It might be interesting to note that my blog post over the weekend is what spurred this conversation in the first place. I wrote an article in response to Andy Ihnatko's analysis on WWDC rumors. From that it got me thinking, "what if a 3G iPhone is not introduced at the WWDC?"

No one's thinking along those lines. Imagine the firestorm.

Here's the original post from my blog:

http://www.zacharybass.com/2008/05/no-3g-iphone-wwdc-on-june-9th.html

-zach

By: ODZWNY, Lewiston, NY

ODZWNY, Lewiston, NY — Wed, 04 Jun 2008 21:00:44 +0000

"In other words, if you wanted to play the odds around next week’s Apple Worldwide Developers Conference, you should have bought Apple (AAPL) two days ago."

In other words, this article should have been written two days ago.