Comments on: Analyst: How Apple sells 45 million iPhones in 2009

By: M Croft, Austin, TX

M Croft, Austin, TX — Wed, 02 Apr 2008 14:03:35 +0000

What’s mysterious about this chart is that it shows sales of 35.6 million iPhones in fiscal 2009, not the 45 million Munster is projecting.

Is it mysterious? It depends on how you read what he said.

he predicted, three weeks before Apple even began selling the iPhone, that the company would be shipping them at the rate of 45 million a year by 2009.

The Sept-09 quarter shows 11.00m unit sales, which is a rate of 44m/year.

[I haven't see the original comment, so I can't tell if this is what he means, but this may be what he meant. Someone should ask him.]

By: Bob, NYC, NY

Bob, NYC, NY — Wed, 02 Apr 2008 13:36:05 +0000

Munster didn't predict that they'd sell 45MM iPhones in 2009 – the article says they'd be selling them at a 45MM rate by 2009, and that's exactly what the table shows. 11MM in the Sep '09 quarter is 44MM annually if there's not a real strong seasonal component in that quarter (or if the data is already seasonally adjusted). By the way, it's the best phone by far that I've ever had/used.

ex ped: Munster did say they'd sell 45 million iPhones in 2009. The language used in the article is ambiguous — it could be read either way — but it was mine, not Munster's.

By: XamaX, Lisboa, Portugal

XamaX, Lisboa, Portugal — Tue, 01 Apr 2008 22:48:23 +0000

WOW did you notice great music composer Al di Meola comment "I travel all over the world as a touring musician and there is absolutely no interest for the Blackberry phone".

Talk about excitment for Apple and the iPhone, even great composers come to defend this 21st century icon!

By: Ryan, Oakland, CA

Ryan, Oakland, CA — Tue, 01 Apr 2008 18:50:43 +0000

Bottom line is that these phones will never be accepted by IT professionals, hence never find the market required to hit such sales figures. People in the market for a true smart phone, will get exactly that. A blackberry, Windows Mobile device, or one of the many upcoming devices based on, lets here that dirty word, OPEN, mobile operating systems.

I work at an 11,000 person corporation which recently made iPhones available to replace our existing Blackberry infrastructure. I work in a group which supports Windows-only financial software. Of the 20 people in the group, 18 have switched from Blackberry to iPhone. I believe we are typical of the company overall.

Also, the gaping logical hole in " A blackberry, Windows Mobile device, or one of the many upcoming devices based on, lets here that dirty word, OPEN, mobile operating systems." is just too much for me. You appear to be implying that the iPhone is bad because it runs a propriety OS while at the same time promoting two proprietary OS's alongside newer open ones.

By: Anonymous

Anonymous — Tue, 01 Apr 2008 16:00:05 +0000

To Brian – my fellow Portlander,

I am confused by your comment "Bottom line is that these phones will never be accepted by IT professionals…"

Have you not seen that SAP is developing its CRM mobile-phone application for the iPhone BEFORE any other? Did you not see the rational that they gave as "This is what our salespeople want"??

I suppose that the users will not be the IT professionals – rather they are the users whom these IT professionals are paid to support. If the professional users want the iPhone the IT-ers will support it.

I am afraid that you are in a bubble equal to the worst of the Apple fanboys.

By: Mario, Atlanta GA

Mario, Atlanta GA — Tue, 01 Apr 2008 14:59:20 +0000

I am waiting it out until IPhone is available with other providers. If Apple wants to hit this goal they should partner up with VZ and T-Mobile, I will definately upgrade today.

By: Simon L Kelly , Australia .

Simon L Kelly , Australia . — Tue, 01 Apr 2008 10:38:47 +0000

Is Australia up for the 1st 3G iPhone on 850 or 900Mhz Band ?

Australia's Mobile Leader is Telstra 850Mhz Band HSUPA same as AT&T Wireless ,Vodafone Australia is running 900Mhz which could be the New iPhone Winner with Rollout 900Mhz Band in Europe & Asia to expand the Coverage in smaller outlying areas more Economical over the 2100 Band .

E: mavenglobal@gmail.com

By: al dimeola old tappan new jersey,07675

al dimeola old tappan new jersey,07675 — Mon, 31 Mar 2008 22:17:39 +0000

I travel all over the world as a touring musician and there is absolutely no interest for the Blackberry phone. The I Phone is the rage in every single country I have visited. Thats, 6 countries in South America,Ukraine,Russia, Italy, France, Hungary, just about every place we have gone the excitement is evident and everyone says that they are waiting for it with great anticipation! This phone is going to far exceed the 10 million Apple has said! They are being so conservativeas usualy and will blow the estimates away! There is nothing like this phone out there at least for 2-3 years! Mark my word here!

By: Brian, Portland Oregon

Brian, Portland Oregon — Mon, 31 Mar 2008 22:00:52 +0000

It never ceases to amaze how easy it is to excite an Apple fanatic, the iPhone is just about as amazing as when Mac's starting coming complete with "two-button" mice, and luckily just as easy to use. 45 million iPhones by Q4 09'? I think these expanding markets they talk about must include extra terrestrials. Bottom line is that these phones will never be accepted by IT professionals, hence never find the market required to hit such sales figures. People in the market for a true smart phone, will get exactly that. A blackberry, Windows Mobile device, or one of the many upcoming devices based on, lets here that dirty word, OPEN, mobile operating systems. Not an overpriced under-featured radioactive iPod.

By: Jeff Nolan

Jeff Nolan — Mon, 31 Mar 2008 20:58:05 +0000

Dave,

John Doerr also funded Webvan and Segway and claimed them to be the birth of a new platform as well. Past success is a poor predictor of future success.